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Will US Q3 2026 GDP reach an annualized growth rate of 3.4% or higher?

According to an article from the RSM Real Economy Blog dated October 23, 2026, the first estimate of US Q3 GDP is about to be released, with… Result: Yes

  • Yes — 54% (result)
  • No — 46%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions

Resolution rules

According to an article from the RSM Real Economy Blog dated October 23, 2026, the first estimate of US Q3 GDP is about to be released, with forecasts pointing to 3.4% growth, driven by investments in AI infrastructure and higher-income household consumption.

Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base na primeira leitura (advance estimate) do PIB do terceiro trimestre de 2026 divulgada pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) dos EUA em bea.gov. Resolvido como 'Sim' se o crescimento anualizado for igual ou superior a 3,4%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

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