World · Open for opinions
Will the US government face a failure in any Treasuries auction (bid-to-cover below 2.0x) by March 2027?
Analysts warn that the combination of a high fiscal deficit, rising interest rates, and inflationary pressure could undermine demand… 76 opinions, 82% No
- Yes — 18%
- No — 82%
Deadline: March 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Analysts warn that the combination of a high fiscal deficit, rising interest rates, and inflationary pressure could undermine demand for US Treasury securities, creating the risk of a 'buyer strike' at auctions.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base nos resultados oficiais de leilões de Treasuries publicados pelo Departamento do Tesouro dos EUA (treasurydirect.gov) até 31/03/2027. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se qualquer leilão de nota ou bônus do Tesouro registrar razão bid-to-cover inferior a 2,0x; 'Não' caso nenhum leilão atinja esse limiar.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 82% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 18 points, a wrong one costs about 82.