World · Open for opinions
Will US GDP grow above 2% in the third quarter of 2026 (BEA advance estimate)?
US GDP grew only 1.5% in Q2 2026, pressured by the conflict with Iran and rising energy prices, despite resilient consumption. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
US GDP grew only 1.5% in Q2 2026, pressured by the conflict with Iran and rising energy prices, despite resilient consumption.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na primeira estimativa (advance estimate) do Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) para o PIB real anualizado do 3º trimestre de 2026. Se o valor for superior a 2,0%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'. Fonte: bea.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.