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Will the average 30-year US mortgage rate exceed 7.5% by the end of 2026?
In October 2026, the average 30-year US mortgage rate reached 7.4%, amid Fed rate hikes and inflationary pressures linked to the… 87 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, the average 30-year US mortgage rate reached 7.4%, amid Fed rate hikes and inflationary pressures linked to the conflict with Iran.
Source: www.washingtonpost.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base nos dados semanais da Freddie Mac (Primary Mortgage Market Survey) publicados até 31 de dezembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se qualquer leitura semanal registrar taxa média igual ou superior a 7,5%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.