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Will the U.S. Consumer Sentiment Index (University of Michigan) record an improvement in the final November 2026 reading compared to the final October 2026 reading?

U.S. 79 opinions, 54% No

  • Yes — 46%
  • No — 54%

Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

U.S. consumer sentiment deteriorated further in early October 2026, as the rising cost of living resulting from the Middle East conflict negatively impacted households' perception of the economy.

Source: live.euronext.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolver com base na leitura final do Índice de Sentimento do Consumidor da Universidade de Michigan para novembro de 2026, comparada à leitura final de outubro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se o índice de novembro for numericamente superior ao de outubro; resolve 'Não' caso contrário.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 54% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 46 points, a wrong one costs about 54.

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