World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its October 2026 meeting?
Financial markets price in about a 70% chance of the Fed raising rates in October, amid persistently above-target inflation and… 69 opinions, 68% Yes
- Yes — 68%
- No — 32%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 69 opinions
Resolution rules
Financial markets price in about a 70% chance of the Fed raising rates in October, amid persistently above-target inflation and political pressures as the mid-term elections approach.
Source: www.nytimes.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar aumento da taxa dos Fed Funds na reunião de política monetária prevista para outubro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado no site federalreserve.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.