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Will US inflation (CPI) in October 2026 be higher than 3.7% year-over-year?

The September 2026 CPI registered a 3.7% increase over 12 months, up from 3.4% in August, driven mainly by gasoline prices. 83 opinions, 58% No

  • Yes — 42%
  • No — 58%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 83 opinions

Resolution rules

The September 2026 CPI registered a 3.7% increase over 12 months, up from 3.4% in August, driven mainly by gasoline prices. The Fed is closely monitoring inflation data for interest rate decisions.

Source: www.latimes.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base no relatório oficial do Consumer Price Index (CPI) de outubro de 2026, divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) do Departamento do Trabalho dos EUA. Se a variação anual do CPI for superior a 3,7%, resolve 'Sim'; igual ou inferior, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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