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Will the US CPI (inflation) for October 2026 be higher than 3.7%?

The US CPI for September 2026 rose to 3.7% per year, up from 3.4% in August, driven mainly by gasoline and other goods. 79 opinions, 58% No

  • Yes — 42%
  • No — 58%

Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

The US CPI for September 2026 rose to 3.7% per year, up from 3.4% in August, driven mainly by gasoline and other goods. The persistence of high inflation makes it uncertain whether the index will continue to accelerate in October.

Source: www.latimes.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base no relatório oficial do Consumer Price Index (CPI) referente a outubro de 2026, divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (bls.gov). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a variação anual do CPI de outubro for superior a 3,7%.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.

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