Finance · Open for opinions
Will the crisis in the STF prevent the approval of the government's priority fiscal agenda in Congress by December 2026?
Citi analyst Leonardo Porto warned (Sep/2026) that the market's main concern is that the crisis in the STF will stall the fiscal… 45 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 45 opinions
Resolution rules
Citi analyst Leonardo Porto warned (Sep/2026) that the market's main concern is that the crisis in the STF will stall the fiscal agenda in Congress. Brazil's debt is on an upward trajectory of 3 to 4 percentage points of GDP per year.
Source: www.estadao.com.br
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução confirmada como 'Sim' se ao menos duas medidas fiscais prioritárias do governo federal (corte de gastos previdenciários, revisão de benefícios ou equivalentes formalmente listados pelo Executivo) não forem aprovadas pelo Congresso até 31/12/2026, conforme declarações oficiais do Ministério da Fazenda ou registro no portal da Câmara/Senado. Caso ambas as medidas sejam aprovadas, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.