World · Open for opinions
Will the European Central Bank (ECB) raise its benchmark interest rate above 2.5% by the end of 2026?
The ECB recently raised rates to 2.5%, citing the conflict in the Middle East and inflation above the 2% target for a prolonged period. 25 opinions, 56% No
- Yes — 44%
- No — 56%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
The ECB recently raised rates to 2.5%, citing the conflict in the Middle East and inflation above the 2% target for a prolonged period. There is an expectation that global central banks will resume raising interest rates in response to accelerating inflation.
Source: www.bbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base nas decisões oficiais de política monetária do BCE (ecb.europa.eu) publicadas até 31/12/2026. Se a taxa de depósito do BCE for elevada acima de 2,5% em qualquer reunião do Conselho até essa data, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 56% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 44 points, a wrong one costs about 56.