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Will the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in October 2026 (annual variation) be above 4%?
The US CPI surprised negatively in September 2026, driven by a sharp rise in gasoline prices. 80 opinions, 70% No
- Yes — 30%
- No — 70%
Deadline: November 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 80 opinions
Resolution rules
The US CPI surprised negatively in September 2026, driven by a sharp rise in gasoline prices. The IMF and market analysts are monitoring the inflationary acceleration trend in the US, which also politically pressures the Trump administration.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar, em seu relatório oficial de outubro de 2026, que o CPI acumulado em 12 meses superou 4,0%. Fonte: bls.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 70% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 30 points, a wrong one costs about 70.