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Science · Open for opinions

Will NASA officially confirm that 2026 is the hottest year on record by February 2027?

NASA continuously monitors global temperatures through satellites and ground stations. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

NASA continuously monitors global temperatures through satellites and ground stations. The topic of climate change is one of the agency's central focuses in 2026, with annual data published regularly.

Source: science.nasa.gov

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se a NASA (via GISS Surface Temperature Analysis ou comunicado oficial em science.nasa.gov) publicar relatório confirmando 2026 como o ano de maior temperatura média global já registrado. Resolve como 'Não' caso contrário ou se outro ano mantiver o recorde.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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Will NASA officially confirm that 2026 is the hottest year on record… — 50% Yes · VoxFi