World · Open for opinions
What will be the Federal Reserve's next decision on interest rates?
The Fed kept rates unchanged in March 2026 amid uncertainty caused by the war with Iran and the oil price shock. 21 opinions, 33% Rate cut
- Rate cut — 33%
- Hold rates — 33%
- Rate hike — 33%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
The Fed kept rates unchanged in March 2026 amid uncertainty caused by the war with Iran and the oil price shock. In September 2026, the Fed's internal debate intensified between acting against persistent inflation or waiting for the conflict to stabilize.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) divulgado na próxima reunião do FOMC após 2026-09-03. A opção vencedora é a que descreve a decisão anunciada: corte (redução de qualquer magnitude), manutenção (taxa inalterada) ou aumento (elevação de qualquer magnitude).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Rate cut has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.