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Will the Federal Reserve keep interest rates unchanged at the November 2026 FOMC meeting?

Traders were pricing in a 78% chance that the Fed would keep interest rates unchanged in October 2026, while Cleveland Fed President… 79 opinions, 72% Yes

  • Yes — 72%
  • No — 28%

Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 79 opinions

Resolution rules

Traders were pricing in a 78% chance that the Fed would keep interest rates unchanged in October 2026, while Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack stated that the central bank should move 'relatively quickly' toward a more restrictive policy to curb inflation.

Source: live.euronext.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolver com base no comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve divulgado após a reunião do FOMC de novembro de 2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se as taxas dos Fed Funds permanecerem inalteradas; resolve 'Não' se houver alta ou corte.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 72% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 28 points, a wrong one costs about 72.

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