World · Open for opinions
What will U.S. GDP growth be in the third quarter of 2026?
Trump said on August 31, 2026 that U.S. 20 opinions, 25% Less than 2%
- Less than 2% — 25%
- Between 2% and 5% — 25%
- Between 5% and 10% — 25%
- More than 10% — 25%
Deadline: November 15, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Trump said on August 31, 2026 that U.S. growth could reach 20%, a rate seen only once since World War II, according to CNBC.
Source: www.cnbc.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na primeira estimativa oficial do BEA (Bureau of Economic Analysis) para o PIB do terceiro trimestre de 2026, divulgada em outubro de 2026. A opção com o intervalo correspondente ao resultado anualizado vence.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Less than 2% has 25% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 75 points, a wrong one costs about 25.