World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates before the US midterm elections in November 2026?
President Trump publicly pressures Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for cuts down to 1%, but persistently high inflation complicates the decision. 70 opinions, 80% No
- Yes — 20%
- No — 80%
Deadline: November 4, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
President Trump publicly pressures Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for cuts down to 1%, but persistently high inflation complicates the decision. The market watches whether the Fed will yield to political pressure before the November 2026 elections.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar pelo menos um corte na taxa dos Fed Funds em reunião do FOMC realizada antes do dia 5 de novembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 80% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 20 points, a wrong one costs about 80.