Crypto · Open for opinions
Will Kalshi surpass Polymarket in total liquidity in the 2026 midterm election markets by the close of polls in November?
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two largest prediction market platforms in operation; Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC in the US while… 21 opinions, 52% Yes
- Yes — 52%
- No — 48%
Deadline: November 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions
Resolution rules
Kalshi and Polymarket are the two largest prediction market platforms in operation; Kalshi is regulated by the CFTC in the US while Polymarket operates with crypto liquidity. Integration with DoubleZero expands institutional access to Kalshi.
Source: www.si.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se, até 5 de novembro de 2026 (dia das eleições), o volume acumulado de negociações dos contratos eleitorais das midterms no Kalshi superar o volume equivalente no Polymarket, conforme dados públicos divulgados pelas próprias plataformas ou reportagem de veículo de referência (CoinDesk, Bloomberg). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 52% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 48 points, a wrong one costs about 52.