Science · Open for opinions
Will the 2026 El Niño be classified as the strongest ever recorded by NOAA or the WMO by December 31, 2026?
According to a WIRED report (source [4]), the 2026 El Niño 'is on track to be the strongest ever recorded,' raising expectations… 25 opinions, 68% No
- Yes — 32%
- No — 68%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 25 opinions
Resolution rules
According to a WIRED report (source [4]), the 2026 El Niño 'is on track to be the strongest ever recorded,' raising expectations about its global climate impacts.
Source: www.wired.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada em comunicado oficial da NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) ou da Organização Meteorológica Mundial (OMM) publicado até 31/12/2026, classificando o evento El Niño de 2026 como o mais intenso já registrado com base no índice ONI (Oceanic Niño Index) ou equivalente oficial.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 68% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 32 points, a wrong one costs about 68.