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Will the Federal Reserve cut the US benchmark interest rate (fed funds rate) at any FOMC meeting by December 31, 2026?
With US inflation projected at 3.6% per year in September 2026—well above the Fed's 2% target—and worsened by tariffs and the… 78 opinions, 79% No
- Yes — 21%
- No — 79%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions
Resolution rules
With US inflation projected at 3.6% per year in September 2026—well above the Fed's 2% target—and worsened by tariffs and the conflict with Iran, economists question whether the Federal Reserve will have room to cut interest rates in 2026.
Source: www.cbsnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar oficialmente uma redução na taxa de fed funds em qualquer reunião do FOMC realizada até 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 79% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 21 points, a wrong one costs about 79.