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Which party will control the US Senate after the November 2026 midterm elections?

Analysts assess that a Republican victory in the midterm elections could boost risk assets, including a 'green light for an… 21 opinions, 33% Republicans

  • Republicans — 33%
  • Democrats — 33%
  • Tie (50-50) — 33%

Deadline: December 10, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 21 opinions

Resolution rules

Analysts assess that a Republican victory in the midterm elections could boost risk assets, including a 'green light for an AI bubble' and a stronger dollar, according to a Financial Post report.

Source: financialpost.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido com base na composição oficial do Senado dos EUA após a certificação de todos os resultados das eleições de novembro de 2026, conforme divulgado pelo Senado dos EUA (senate.gov) ou pela Associated Press. Considera-se a maioria simples de 51 senadores para definir o partido controlador.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Republicans has 33% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 67 points, a wrong one costs about 33.

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