Crypto · Open for opinions
Will the Clarity Act (H.R.3633) be signed into law in the US by the end of 2026?
Prediction market data indicate a 95% probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026, making it one of the most active… 37 opinions, 89% Yes
- Yes — 89%
- No — 11%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 37 opinions
Resolution rules
Prediction market data indicate a 95% probability of the Clarity Act being signed into law in 2026, making it one of the most active political markets by volume at the moment.
Source: defirate.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o projeto de lei H.R.3633 (Clarity Act) for aprovado pelo Congresso e sancionado pelo Presidente dos EUA até 31 de dezembro de 2026, conforme registro oficial no Congress.gov.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 89% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 11 points, a wrong one costs about 89.