Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil meet the primary result target established in the fiscal framework for fiscal year 2026?
The debate about public spending growing above GDP and its impacts on inflation, interest rates, and debt is central to the… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The debate about public spending growing above GDP and its impacts on inflation, interest rates, and debt is central to the Brazilian economic discussion in 2026, with the fiscal framework being the main anchor of the fiscal regime.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no Relatório de Avaliação de Receitas e Despesas Primárias do 5º bimestre de 2026 ou no resultado primário do setor público consolidado divulgado pelo Tesouro Nacional / Banco Central referente ao ano de 2026, comparado à meta do CMN vigente. Resolve 'Sim' se o resultado ficar dentro da banda de tolerância oficial.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.