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Will US PCE inflation exceed 2.5% in the next official reading?
Market analyses indicate that US inflation progress remains uneven and PCE is expected to exceed 2.5%, making the Federal Reserve's… 76 opinions, 64% Yes
- Yes — 64%
- No — 36%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Market analyses indicate that US inflation progress remains uneven and PCE is expected to exceed 2.5%, making the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut path more difficult.
Source: www.investing.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base no dado oficial de inflação PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) divulgado pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) dos EUA referente ao mês mais recente disponível até 30/11/2026. Se o índice anual superar 2,5%, resolve 'Sim'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.