World · Open for opinions
Will Iran announce the reopening of traffic in the Strait of Hormuz by October 31, 2026?
Consider the normalization and formal clearance of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz between 04/10 and 31/10. 76 opinions, 64% No
- Yes — 36%
- No — 64%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 76 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider the normalization and formal clearance of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz between 04/10 and 31/10.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 04/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se o governo do Irã ou a Organização Marítima Internacional confirmarem oficialmente a reabertura irrestrita e normalização do tráfego comercial no Estreito de Ormuz até 31/10/2026, com validação por Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.