Finance · Open for opinions
Will the CFTC publish new guidelines or restrictive measures for prediction markets by November 30, 2026?
Consider positions taken by the US regulator between October 10 and November 30 in light of reports on political contracts. 79 opinions, 59% No
- Yes — 41%
- No — 59%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 79 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider positions taken by the US regulator between October 10 and November 30 in light of reports on political contracts.
Source: vertexaisearch.cloud.google.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 10/10/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 30/11/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se a Commodity Futures participação Commission (CFTC) publicar norma regulatória, guia orientador ou ação fiscalizatória formal sobre contratos de eventos políticos até 30/11/2026, conforme comunicado oficial em cftc.gov. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 59% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 41 points, a wrong one costs about 59.