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Will the US and Iran sign a formal ceasefire before the US midterm elections on November 3, 2026?

The seven-month-long war between the US and Iran continues with no end in sight. 78 opinions, 88% No

  • Yes — 12%
  • No — 88%

Deadline: November 3, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 78 opinions

Resolution rules

The seven-month-long war between the US and Iran continues with no end in sight. Both sides claim the US electoral calendar is not influencing their decisions, even as inflation and high gas prices cause strong unpopularity ahead of the November 3 elections

Source: www.wsls.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se um cessar-fogo formal entre EUA e Irã for oficialmente anunciado por fontes governamentais de ambos os países (Casa Branca ou Ministério das Relações Exteriores do Irã) até 3 de novembro de 2026. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 88% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 12 points, a wrong one costs about 88.

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Will the US and Iran sign a formal ceasefire before the US midterm… — 88% No · VoxFi