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Will the conflict involving Iran result in a formal ceasefire recognized internationally by December 31, 2026?

The conflict involving Iran continues in August 2026, with direct impacts on global inflation and energy markets, as reported by AP… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The conflict involving Iran continues in August 2026, with direct impacts on global inflation and energy markets, as reported by AP on 08/26/2026.

Source: apnews.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução positiva se um cessar-fogo formal for anunciado e reconhecido por ao menos uma organização internacional (ONU, Liga Árabe ou equivalente) até 31/12/2026, conforme reportagem de agência de notícias internacional de referência (AP, Reuters ou AFP).

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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