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Will the Fed (Federal Reserve) cut interest rates at least once by December 31, 2026?

The WSJ reports that three influential Fed members are leading a reassessment of the anti-inflation strategy. 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

The WSJ reports that three influential Fed members are leading a reassessment of the anti-inflation strategy. US CPI is at 2.9% and the Fed faces a dilemma between controlling inflation and sustaining economic growth.

Source: www.wsj.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Comitê Federal de Mercado Aberto (FOMC) anunciar redução na meta da taxa dos fed funds em qualquer reunião ordinária ou extraordinária até 31/12/2026. Fonte: comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado em federalreserve.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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