World · Open for opinions
Will the conflict between the US/Israel and Iran have a formal ceasefire announced before January 1, 2027?
A new wave of fighting in the week of 2026-09-01 has again raised oil and gas prices. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
A new wave of fighting in the week of 2026-09-01 has again raised oil and gas prices. The conflict, centered on control of the Strait of Hormuz, still has no clear prospect of ending, impacting global markets and US monetary policy.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se um cessar-fogo formal e oficialmente anunciado pelas partes ou mediado por organismo internacional (ONU, Liga Árabe, etc.) entrar em vigor antes de 2027-01-01, conforme reportagem de ao menos duas agências internacionais de notícias de referência (Reuters, AP ou AFP). Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.