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Will the European Central Bank keep interest rates unchanged at its next monetary policy decision?

An October 23, 2026 article from the RSM Real Economy Blog indicates that the ECB is expected to hold rates steady while monitoring… 85 opinions, 78% Yes

  • Yes — 78%
  • No — 22%

Deadline: November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 85 opinions

Resolution rules

An October 23, 2026 article from the RSM Real Economy Blog indicates that the ECB is expected to hold rates steady while monitoring the French debt crisis, which continues to deteriorate and pressure European markets.

Source: realeconomy.rsmus.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o comunicado oficial do BCE publicado na próxima reunião de política monetária (prevista para novembro de 2026) indicar que as taxas de referência permaneceram inalteradas. Fonte: comunicado oficial em ecb.europa.eu.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 78% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 22 points, a wrong one costs about 78.

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Will the European Central Bank keep interest rates unchanged at its… — 78% Yes · VoxFi