World · Open for opinions
Will the US and Iran announce a pact on the Strait of Hormuz by October 31, 2026?
Consider announcements between 09/24 and 10/31 following mediated talks between Washington and Tehran at the UN General Assembly. 77 opinions, 66% No
- Yes — 34%
- No — 66%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 77 opinions
Resolution rules
Consider announcements between 09/24 and 10/31 following mediated talks between Washington and Tehran at the UN General Assembly.
Source: www.aljazeera.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Janela de apuração: de 24/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos dos EUA ou do Irã formalizarem e anunciarem oficialmente um acordo bilateral ou trégua de navegação no Estreito de Ormuz até 31/10/2026, conforme confirmado pela ONU, Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 66% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 34 points, a wrong one costs about 66.