World · Open for opinions
Will the US record two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth (technical recession) by the end of 2026?
Forecasters warn that the combination of persistent inflation and weak growth in the US could lead the country to stagflation. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
Forecasters warn that the combination of persistent inflation and weak growth in the US could lead the country to stagflation. The Fed faces the dilemma of raising interest rates to contain prices amid signs of economic slowdown.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução baseada nos dados oficiais do PIB divulgados pelo Bureau of Economic Analysis (bea.gov). O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o BEA confirmar contração do PIB real em dois trimestres consecutivos até a divulgação do dado do 3º trimestre de 2026 (prevista para outubro/novembro de 2026).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.