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Finance · Open for opinions

Will the federal government formally announce a new fiscal adjustment package by December 31, 2026?

In September 2026, allies of the Lula government publicly questioned the credibility of the administration's fiscal adjustment,… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

In September 2026, allies of the Lula government publicly questioned the credibility of the administration's fiscal adjustment, while the electoral campaign tried to dismiss the fiscal crisis as 'fake news', putting pressure on the government's economic policy.

Source: www.gazetadopovo.com.br

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve 'Sim' se o Ministério da Fazenda ou a Presidência da República publicar oficialmente medidas de ajuste fiscal (corte de gastos, contingenciamento orçamentário ou pacote fiscal estrutural) até 31/12/2026, com divulgação via comunicado do Ministério da Fazenda (gov.br/fazenda) ou publicação no Diário Oficial da União. Caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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