World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at its December 2026 meeting?
Multiple FOMC members have signaled support for a rate hike at the December meeting to accelerate the return of inflation to the 2%… 87 opinions, 55% Yes
- Yes — 55%
- No — 45%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
Multiple FOMC members have signaled support for a rate hike at the December meeting to accelerate the return of inflation to the 2% target. At the October meeting (10/27-29), expectations are for a hold. Chairman Kevin Warsh will need to explain the pause while inflation accelerates.
Source: www.business-standard.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na decisão oficial do FOMC divulgada ao fim da reunião de dezembro de 2026. Se a taxa dos fed funds for aumentada em relação ao nível atual, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'. Fonte: comunicado oficial do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov).
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 55% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 45 points, a wrong one costs about 55.