World · Open for opinions
Will US annual inflation reach 4.2% or higher in 2026?
CNN reported that the US war with Iran is expected to raise inflation in the first quarter of 2027 and pressure the 2026 annual index… 36 opinions, 58% No
- Yes — 42%
- No — 58%
Deadline: January 31, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 36 opinions
Resolution rules
CNN reported that the US war with Iran is expected to raise inflation in the first quarter of 2027 and pressure the 2026 annual index up to 4.2%. The Fed's decision to raise interest rates is partly motivated by this inflationary pressure.
Source: www.facebook.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na variação percentual do CPI (Consumer Price Index) acumulada em 12 meses para dezembro de 2026, divulgada pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) em janeiro de 2027 (bls.gov). Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a leitura for ≥ 4,2%.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 58% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 42 points, a wrong one costs about 58.