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Will the Nasdaq Composite index close October 2026 below the level of October 13, 2026?

The Nasdaq fell 2.7% following the release of the September 2026 CPI (3.7% year-over-year), higher than expected. 81 opinions, 53% Yes

  • Yes — 53%
  • No — 47%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions

Resolution rules

The Nasdaq fell 2.7% following the release of the September 2026 CPI (3.7% year-over-year), higher than expected. Wholesale price reports and rising long-term Treasury yields further pressured financing costs, according to The American Prospect (10/16/2026).

Source: prospect.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

O mercado resolve como 'Sim' se o valor de fechamento do Nasdaq Composite em 30 de outubro de 2026 for inferior ao fechamento registrado em 13 de outubro de 2026 (dia anterior à queda de 2,7% noticiada). Fonte: dados oficiais da Nasdaq (nasdaq.com) ou Bloomberg.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 53% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 47 points, a wrong one costs about 53.

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