World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate at its next FOMC meeting before the end of October 2026?
The conflict between the US and Iran is putting pressure on energy prices and inflation, complicating the Fed's decision. 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The conflict between the US and Iran is putting pressure on energy prices and inflation, complicating the Fed's decision. A Fed governor signaled that the central bank should act if inflation does not improve soon, while Treasury Secretary Bessent advocates ignoring high energy prices.
Source: www.wsj.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Federal Reserve anunciar aumento na taxa dos fed funds em reunião do FOMC realizada até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicado oficial do Fed (federalreserve.gov). Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.