World · Open for opinions
What will be the FOMC decision at the December 2026 meeting regarding the US benchmark interest rate?
With persistent inflation in 'all aspects' of the US economy, according to Kashkari, and accelerated economic growth, the… 42 opinions, 43% Rate hike
- Rate hike — 43%
- Rate hold — 40%
- Rate cut — 17%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 42 opinions
Resolution rules
With persistent inflation in 'all aspects' of the US economy, according to Kashkari, and accelerated economic growth, the monetary tightening cycle may extend through the fourth quarter of 2026.
Source: ktar.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no comunicado oficial do FOMC publicado em federalreserve.gov após a reunião de dezembro de 2026. A opção vencedora é determinada pela variação anunciada na meta da taxa dos fed funds em relação à reunião de novembro.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Rate hike has 43% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 57 points, a wrong one costs about 43.