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Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate at the October 2026 monetary policy meeting?

A senior investor at Chatham Financial stated on October 5, 2026, that persistent inflation could force the Fed to raise interest… 76 opinions, 64% No

  • Yes — 36%
  • No — 64%

Deadline: October 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 76 opinions

Resolution rules

A senior investor at Chatham Financial stated on October 5, 2026, that persistent inflation could force the Fed to raise interest rates as early as October, defying market expectations for a rate hold.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolução baseada na decisão oficial do FOMC divulgada pelo Federal Reserve ao término da reunião de outubro de 2026 (prevista para 28-29 de outubro). Se o comunicado oficial indicar aumento da taxa dos fed funds, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 64% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 36 points, a wrong one costs about 64.

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Will the Federal Reserve raise the US benchmark interest rate at the… — 64% No · VoxFi