World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve cut the US benchmark interest rate at its November or December 2026 meeting?
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh highlighted price stability as a priority and avoided giving signals on rate cuts. 81 opinions, 81% No
- Yes — 19%
- No — 81%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh highlighted price stability as a priority and avoided giving signals on rate cuts. With inflation at 3.7% and pressure from AI investments, the room for reductions appears limited.
Source: www.pbs.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolução com base na decisão oficial do Comitê Federal de Mercado Aberto (FOMC) divulgada pelo Federal Reserve após as reuniões de novembro e dezembro de 2026. O mercado resolve 'Sim' se o Fed reduzir a taxa dos federal funds em pelo menos 0,25 ponto percentual em qualquer uma dessas reuniões.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 81% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 19 points, a wrong one costs about 81.