World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise its benchmark interest rate above 4.00% at the December 2026 FOMC meeting?
With consumer and producer inflation under pressure in September 2026 and dissidents already favoring a hike in October, expectations… 87 opinions, 57% No
- Yes — 43%
- No — 57%
Deadline: December 18, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
With consumer and producer inflation under pressure in September 2026 and dissidents already favoring a hike in October, expectations are growing that the Fed could act in December if data does not cool down.
Source: www.investmentexecutive.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o FOMC anunciar elevação da taxa dos fed funds para acima de 4,00% na reunião de dezembro de 2026, conforme comunicado oficial em federalreserve.gov. Resolve 'Não' caso a taxa seja mantida ou reduzida.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 57% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 43 points, a wrong one costs about 57.