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Will the US and Iran officially announce a ceasefire or truce between 09/11 and 10/31/2026?

The American president stated that he expects the war to end after the November legislative elections, sparking debate about the… 27 opinions, 85% No

  • Yes — 15%
  • No — 85%

Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM UTC · 27 opinions

Resolution rules

The American president stated that he expects the war to end after the November legislative elections, sparking debate about the chances of an early agreement.

Source: www.reuters.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Janela de apuração: de 11/09/2026 (00:00, horário de Brasília) até 31/10/2026 (23:59). Fatos, anúncios ou eventos anteriores ao início da janela não contam. Resolve como 'Sim' se os governos dos EUA e do Irã anunciarem oficialmente um acordo de cessar-fogo, trégua ou tratado de paz até 31/10/2026, conforme comunicados oficiais da Casa Branca ou reportagens de Reuters, AP ou AFP. Caso contrário, resolve como 'Não'.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 85% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 15 points, a wrong one costs about 85.

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