Finance · Open for opinions
Will Brazil's GDP grow above 2.5% in 2026, according to official estimates from IBGE or the federal government?
The Brazilian economy has been showing consistent growth since 2023, converting economic results into approval for the Lula… 20 opinions, 50% Yes
- Yes — 50%
- No — 50%
Deadline: February 28, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions
Resolution rules
The Brazilian economy has been showing consistent growth since 2023, converting economic results into approval for the Lula government. The debate over the sustainability of growth amid the high interest rates maintained by the independent Central Bank is central to the political-economic scenario.
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Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na primeira estimativa oficial do crescimento do PIB brasileiro em 2026 divulgada pelo IBGE (Contas Nacionais Trimestrais acumuladas no ano) ou pela projeção constante no relatório do Ministério da Fazenda até 28/02/2027. Se o crescimento acumulado em 2026 superar 2,5%, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, resolve 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.