World · Open for opinions
Will the Federal Reserve raise interest rates at the December 2026 FOMC meeting?
At the October 28, 2026 meeting, the Fed kept the rate at ~3.9% even with inflation above the 2% target (September CPI at 3.7%). 87 opinions, 62% No
- Yes — 38%
- No — 62%
Deadline: December 20, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 87 opinions
Resolution rules
At the October 28, 2026 meeting, the Fed kept the rate at ~3.9% even with inflation above the 2% target (September CPI at 3.7%). Chairman Kevin Warsh signaled that he will wait for more data before taking action. The next meeting is scheduled for December 2026.
Source: thebusinessjournal.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base na decisão oficial do Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) divulgada pelo Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) na reunião de dezembro de 2026. Se a taxa-alvo dos fed funds subir em relação aos atuais ~3,9%, resolve 'Sim'. Caso contrário, 'Não'.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 62% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 38 points, a wrong one costs about 62.