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Will US inflation (annualized CPI) exceed 3.5% in any monthly reading before the end of 2026?

US inflation registered an annual rate of 3.0%, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, and continues on an upward trajectory… 20 opinions, 50% Yes

  • Yes — 50%
  • No — 50%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 20 opinions

Resolution rules

US inflation registered an annual rate of 3.0%, above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, and continues on an upward trajectory according to reports from August 2026.

Source: www.npr.org

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolvido como 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar qualquer leitura mensal do CPI com variação anualizada acima de 3,5% entre setembro e dezembro de 2026. Fonte: bls.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now Yes has 50% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 50 points, a wrong one costs about 50.

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