World · Open for opinions
Will US consumer inflation (annual CPI) exceed 4% in any official release before December 2026?
The US CPI rose by 3.4% in September 2026, with rising fuel costs and mortgage rates at a 15-month peak, putting pressure on the… 70 opinions, 69% No
- Yes — 31%
- No — 69%
Deadline: November 30, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 70 opinions
Resolution rules
The US CPI rose by 3.4% in September 2026, with rising fuel costs and mortgage rates at a 15-month peak, putting pressure on the economy ahead of the mid-term elections.
Source: qz.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve 'Sim' se o Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) divulgar leitura do CPI acumulado em 12 meses superior a 4,0% em qualquer relatório mensal publicado até 30 de novembro de 2026. Resolve 'Não' se todas as divulgações até essa data ficarem em 4,0% ou abaixo.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 69% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 31 points, a wrong one costs about 69.