World · Open for opinions
Will the US consumer confidence index measured by the Conference Board record a drop in October 2026 compared to the September 2026 reading?
A poll released on 09/29/2026 indicates that Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the economy after five years of high… 72 opinions, 60% Yes
- Yes — 60%
- No — 40%
Deadline: October 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 72 opinions
Resolution rules
A poll released on 09/29/2026 indicates that Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the economy after five years of high inflation, with gasoline and other item prices remaining high, potentially threatening support for the Trump administration and Republicans.
Source: www.usnews.com
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve com base no valor do Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) do Conference Board divulgado ao final de outubro de 2026. Se o índice de outubro for inferior ao de setembro de 2026, resolve 'Sim'; caso contrário, 'Não'. Fonte: conference-board.org.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now Yes has 60% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 40 points, a wrong one costs about 60.