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Will US inflation (CPI) return to the 2% annual target by March 2027?

The Richmond Fed signals openness to a rapid drop in inflation, but the war with Iran puts pressure on fuel and goods prices, keeping… 57 opinions, 75% No

  • Yes — 25%
  • No — 75%

Deadline: March 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 57 opinions

Resolution rules

The Richmond Fed signals openness to a rapid drop in inflation, but the war with Iran puts pressure on fuel and goods prices, keeping high uncertainty regarding the horizon of convergence to the target.

Source: thehill.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve como 'Sim' se o relatório do CPI (Consumer Price Index) divulgado pelo Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) referente a fevereiro de 2027 ou anterior indicar variação anual igual ou inferior a 2,0%. Fonte: bls.gov.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 75% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 25 points, a wrong one costs about 75.

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Will US inflation (CPI) return to the 2% annual target by March 2027? — 75% No · VoxFi