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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at any meeting before the end of 2026?

President Trump publicly pressures the Fed to cut interest rates to 1%, but the central bank under Kevin Warsh has just raised rates… 71 opinions, 87% No

  • Yes — 13%
  • No — 87%

Deadline: December 31, 2026 at 12:00 AM UTC · 71 opinions

Resolution rules

President Trump publicly pressures the Fed to cut interest rates to 1%, but the central bank under Kevin Warsh has just raised rates in the face of persistent inflation. Economists consider rate cuts in 2026 very unlikely given the inflationary environment.

Source: www.facebook.com

Frequently asked questions about this event

How is this event resolved?

Resolve com base nas decisões oficiais do FOMC publicadas no site do Federal Reserve (federalreserve.gov) até 31/12/2026. Mercado resolve 'Sim' se a taxa dos fed funds for reduzida em qualquer reunião do FOMC ocorrida entre 27/09/2026 e 31/12/2026.

How are points scored?

Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.

Right now No has 87% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 13 points, a wrong one costs about 87.

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Will the Federal Reserve cut interest rates at any meeting before… — 87% No · VoxFi