World · Open for opinions
Will the US-Iran conflict have a formal ceasefire announced by April 2027?
In October 2026, the Atlantic Council published an analysis highlighting that the eight-month-old US-Iran conflict directly impacts… 81 opinions, 81% No
- Yes — 19%
- No — 81%
Deadline: April 15, 2027 at 12:00 AM UTC · 81 opinions
Resolution rules
In October 2026, the Atlantic Council published an analysis highlighting that the eight-month-old US-Iran conflict directly impacts energy prices and the US midterm elections, while Congress faces limitations to intervene.
Source: www.atlanticcouncil.org
Frequently asked questions about this event
How is this event resolved?
Resolve como 'Sim' se governos dos EUA e do Irã, ou mediadores reconhecidos internacionalmente (ONU, Qatar, Suíça), anunciarem oficialmente um cessar-fogo formal ou acordo de suspensão das hostilidades até 15 de abril de 2027, confirmado por declaração oficial de ao menos um dos governos envolvidos.
How are points scored?
Points depend on the share of votes your side had when you gave your opinion. Being right earns 100 minus that share. Being wrong costs that share.
Right now No has 81% of the votes: an opinion on it that turns out right earns about 19 points, a wrong one costs about 81.